Last month was the hottest April globally, according to new figures released by NASA on May 15. According to statistics, the temperature of the land and sea was 34 degrees warmer in April than the average temperature for the month between 1951 and 1980. April has become the seventh month in a row to break global records, making 2016 more likely to beat 2015 as the hottest year in history. Piers Forster, professor of physical climate change at University of Leeds, UK, and Chris Rapley, professor of climate science at University College London, explain why the temperature is heating up. Piers Forster, professor of physical climate change at University of Leeds and member of the Royal Meteorological Society: “We need to urgently reduce emissions but this is not enough”
RELATED:Five islands disappear due to climate change Why are we witnessing such a global trend?
Long-term global temperatures are rising due to greenhouse gas emissions. We expect month to month variation on the background warming trend. This is due to changing ocean circulation and random events such as volcanoes. Recently heat has been coming out of the ocean and adding to the longterm warming. Between 1998 to 2014 the ocean was absorbing heat which slowed the warming. Now it is giving that heat back out and we are in a period of surging temperatures. What impact could it have?
We are already seeing the impact around the world: Increased flooding, droughts and sea-level rise; more heavy rainfall events. Corals are dying from warmer seas. We will also see impacts on food production. Some crops such as wheat gets killed by hot temperatures (when it’s greater than 30 degrees Celsius at their time of flowering). How should we deal with this problem?
We need to urgently reduce emissions but this is not enough as temperatures will still rise for several decades. We therefore need to build better towns and cities, build flood defenses and develop new crop varieties to cope with the heat. Technological and natural ways of cooling the planet are also needed. We need to capture the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and store it for decades—planting trees is great for this. We also should not rule out crazier solutions, such as adding reflective particles to the atmosphere that reflect sunlight and cool the Earth — so-called climate engineering. What’s next?
We may get a reprieve next year but the outlook is generally more of the same but hotter.
Chris Rapley, professor of climate science at University College London: “We can anticipate big problems and costs ahead for all of us”